Symptom 3 Age Weight Symptom 2 Disease 2 Disease 1 Symptom 1 Symptom 3 Symptom
نویسندگان
چکیده
An important issue in the use of expert systems is the so-called brittleness problem. Expert systems model only a limited part of the world. While the explicit management of uncertainty in expert systems mitigates the brittleness problem, it is still possible for a system to be used, unwittingly, in ways that the system is not prepared to address. Such situation may be detected by the method of straw models, rst presented by Jensen et al. 1990] and later generalized and justiied by Laskey 1991]. We describe an algorithm, which we have implemented, that takes as input an annotated diagnostic Bayesian network (the base model) and constructs, without assistance, a bipartite network to be used as a straw model. We show that in some cases this straw model is better that the independent straw model of Jensen et al., the only other straw model for which a construction algorithm has been designed and implemented .
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